With less than a month until the people of the United States decide who will represent them in the House of Representatives, Senate, and the Presidency, some crypto events seem to be focused on regulation and politics.
Attending the Permissionless III conference in Salt Lake City, Utah, and Ripple Swell in Miami, Florida, in October, Cointelegraph noted that many panels included takes from high-level executives on their predictions for what would happen in the November race between Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump for the US presidency, and what the outcome could mean for the industry in 2025.
Whether the topics of discussion initially focused on regulation or included stablecoins or Bitcoin BTC
$68,357 mining, many participants suggested that digital assets had become more of a mainstream issue in US politics in 2024 in a way never before seen.
“Every single panel is talking about regulations,” Ripple’s head of US public policy, Lauren Belive, told Cointelegraph at Swell on Oct. 16, adding:
“We’ve seen a much broader swath now of policymakers really interested in the nuances of this technology.”
The crypto industry has made several inroads in 2024 compared to the US midterms in 2022 or the 2020 elections. During Trump’s presidency from 2017 to 2021, he referred to Bitcoin as based on “thin air,” also calling the cryptocurrency a “scam” after leaving office. Both major party candidates have since made statements suggesting they intend to support the industry if elected.
“I do think there’s a frustration and a sense that this is technology, and technology shouldn’t be a political issue — it’s become one in the United States,” Fireblocks head of legal and compliance, Jason Allegrante, told Cointelegraph. “I think that’s why people are now being much more vocal about what the potential impact of this election is.”
Crypto wins regardless of the outcome?
While regulation has always been a concern for many in the industry, the number of lawmakers and policymakers willing to discuss digital assets — including at crypto-focused events — seems to be increasing.
Trump gave a keynote speech at the Bitcoin 2024 conference in Nashville, Tennessee. Several presidential candidates and lawmakers also spoke at the North American Blockchain Summit in 2023, which will resume after the US Election on Nov. 5.
“We’re going to be starting [in 2025] with the most educated Congress we’ve ever had because we have so many first-time candidates who are coming in with positions on crypto,” Blockchain Association CEO Kristin Smith said at a Permissionless panel on Oct. 9.
Coinbase chief policy officer Faryar Shirzad added at a different panel on Oct. 11:
“Regardless of what happens in the elections, we will have a very significantly advanced debate around the crypto issues and a very large cohort of members of the House and the Senate […] who will now come in with brand new pro-crypto voices.”
Prediction platform Polymarket, at the time of publication, put Trump at a 60% chance of winning the US Presidency over Vice President Harris.
The Kalshi marketplace, which began allowing bets on US elections after winning in court against the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, put Republicans’ odds of winning control of the House, Senate, and the Presidency at 42% at the time of publication.
